Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

GE

Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered double‑digit top-line growth with normalized retail margins: revenue rose 14.3% to $136.8M, diluted EPS increased to $0.40, and adjusted EBITDA rose 22.7% to $14.4M, driven by GRE customer growth and higher per‑meter consumption .
  • GRE revenue grew 17.8% to $132.5M and income from operations increased 18.2% to $16.8M; churn held at 5.5% amid stable commodity pricing and retention initiatives .
  • GREW revenue fell 40% to $4.3M due to the strategic exit from commercial projects, but Diversegy posted a record quarter and GREW’s margin mix improved (gross margin 33.7%) even as operating loss widened to $0.9M .
  • Management confirmed FY 2025 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance of $40–$50M and reiterated active capital returns via repurchases and a $0.075 quarterly dividend—key narrative supports for the stock into the year .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong consolidated execution: revenue +14.3% to $136.8M, EPS +$0.10 to $0.40, adjusted EBITDA +22.7% to $14.4M YoY; “robust increases in revenue, profitability and cash generation” (CEO) .
  • Retail energy growth with normalized margins: “GRE is back at a reasonable year‑over‑year comparative baseline” with meters up >48k YoY to ~413k and RCEs to 402k; churn stable at 5.5% .
  • GREW mix improvement and project milestones: gross margin at 33.7% (up from 22.0% YoY) and Lansing community solar “on track for completion as early as the third quarter… EBITDA accretive immediately” (CEO) .

What Went Wrong

  • Consolidated gross margin compressed to 27.3% (-90 bps YoY), driven by lower electricity margins and acquisition of lower‑margin municipal aggregation meters; average revenue per kWh declined 5.7% YoY .
  • GREW top‑line decline (-40% YoY to $4.3M) reflecting the exit from commercial‑scale solar; segment operating loss widened to $0.9M .
  • Renewables pipeline still early stage: only 10 MW operational out of 123 MW pipeline; continued investment weighed on near‑term GREW profitability .

Financial Results

Headline Metrics vs Prior Quarters

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$111.9 $102.9 $136.8
Diluted EPS ($)$0.38 $(0.58) $0.40
Gross Margin (%)33.9% 32.5% 27.3%
Operating Margin (%)10.4% (20.2)% 9.4%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$13.6 $11.1 $14.4

Narrative drivers:

  • Q1 vs Q4: seasonal uplift (winter consumption), customer base expansion, and normalized retail margins lifted revenue and profitability; Q4 figures were depressed by a $30.9M non‑cash captive insurance reserve .
  • Q1 YoY: electricity kWh sold +23.5% with average revenue per kWh -5.7%; natural gas revenue +26.8% on higher therms and rate; consolidated SG&A up 4.3% .

Segment Breakdown

Segment MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
GRE Revenue ($M)$105.8 $98.4 $132.5
GRE Gross Margin (%)33.8% 32.4% 27.1%
GRE Income from Operations ($M)$15.0 $12.6 $16.8
GREW Revenue ($M)$6.1 $4.5 $4.3
GREW Gross Margin (%)34.9% 33.9% 33.7%
GREW Income from Operations ($M)$(0.2) $(0.7) $(0.9)

KPIs (GRE Operational Metrics)

KPI (End of Period)Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
RCEs (000s)380 399 402
Meters (000s)399 422 413
Gross Adds (000s)104 92 61
Churn (%)5.6% 5.3% 5.5%

Balance Sheet/Cash Flow Highlights (Q1 2025)

  • Cash, restricted cash, and marketable equity securities: $210.2M; total assets $384.4M; total liabilities $197.0M; working capital $121.2M .
  • Cash from operating activities: $13.5M (continuing operations) .

Q1 2025 vs Estimates

MetricWall St. ConsensusActual
Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A*$136.8
Diluted EPS ($)N/A*$0.40
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)N/A*$14.4

*Values retrieved from S&P Global. S&P Global consensus for Q1 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable (coverage was limited); tool returned actuals only.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA (Consolidated)FY 2025$40–$50M (maintained in Q4 2024) $40–$50M (confirmed) Maintained
Dividend per shareQuarterly$0.075 per share (ongoing) $0.075 per share payable May 30, 2025; record May 19, 2025 Maintained
Capital returns (repurchases)OngoingActive buybacks noted (Q4/Q1) Repurchased ~127k shares for $1.9M; intent to continue repurchases Ongoing program

No quantitative guidance provided for revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, or tax rate.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Retail margin normalizationQ3: Robust margins but lower per‑meter consumption; Q4: heavy non‑cash captive insurance reserve depressed reported results “Normalized results in both periods”; margins in sustainable range; GRE revenue/OpInc +18% YoY Normalizing and sustainable
Customer base growthQ3: +36k net meters; Q4: +23.5k net meters; +60k net meters in 2024 ~413k meters; 402k RCEs; churn stable at 5.5%; retention program cited Continuing expansion
Geographic expansionQ3: began process for CA gas Marketing in CA; gas in KY expected in Q2 Broadening footprint
Solar pipeline and Lansing projectQ3: pipeline site control gains; 106 MW pipeline Lansing community solar on track for Q3 completion; 123 MW pipeline (10 MW operational) Advancing to commissioning
Diversegy performanceQ3: Adjusted EBITDA positive; revenue nearly doubled YoY Record quarter; major contributor to GREW revenue Structural improvement
Capital allocation/cashQ4: cash/reserves built to $201M; buybacks $210.2M cash/restricted cash/securities; $3.9M returned via dividend/buybacks; intent to continue repurchases Ongoing returns and balance sheet strength

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “GRE is back at a reasonable year‑over‑year comparative baseline with margins in what we believe to be a sustainable range… we ended the quarter with approximately 413,000 meters served comprising 402,000 RCEs” .
  • CEO: “The [Lansing, NY] community solar project… is on track for completion as early as the third quarter… We expect it will become EBITDA accretive immediately once online” .
  • CFO: “Consolidated revenue… increased 14.3% to $136.8 million… Electricity revenue climbed 16.4%… Kilowatt‑hours sold increased 23.5%… offset by a 5.7% decrease in average revenue per kilowatt‑hour sold” .
  • CFO: “We are confirming our full‑year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $40 million to $50 million” .
  • CEO: “With our strong balance sheet… we expect to continue to repurchase our shares in the coming quarters” .

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q&A portion had no analyst questions; the call ended after prepared remarks .
  • No incremental guidance beyond confirming the adjusted EBITDA range; no clarifications requested or provided .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q1 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable; coverage around subsequent quarters shows limited estimates (e.g., only one estimate for certain Q3/Q4 2025 metrics).* Actual Q1 results: revenue $136.8M, adjusted EBITDA $14.4M, diluted EPS $0.40 .
  • Implication: With sparse coverage, near‑term estimate revisions likely hinge on management’s “normalized” margin narrative and consumption dynamics; later‑quarter estimates may recalibrate as Lansing commissions and GREW mix evolves .
    *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q1 establishes a “normalized” margin baseline in GRE with strong meter/RCE growth, supporting EPS and EBITDA durability into the year .
  • Electricity volume tailwinds (+23.5% kWh) combined with lower unit pricing (-5.7%) and aggregation mix compress gross margin; watch margin trajectory as mix shifts and municipal aggregation scales .
  • Renewables pivot is progressing: Lansing commissioning in Q3 should add immediate EBITDA; Diversegy’s recurring, high‑margin contribution reduces GREW volatility .
  • Balance sheet remains a strategic asset: $210.2M cash/restricted/securities and low net debt (~$9M) enable sustained buybacks and dividend continuity .
  • Guidance is intact at $40–$50M adjusted EBITDA; absent Q1 consensus, the confirmation serves as a key narrative anchor—monitor Q2 weather/wholesale price impacts and Q3 Lansing ramp for guidance credibility .
  • Short‑term trading: potential positive bias from normalized margins, EPS/EBITDA growth, and capital returns; sensitivity to wholesale commodity prices and aggregation mix remains the principal risk driver .
  • Medium‑term thesis: meter/RCE expansion plus renewables commissioning can lift consolidated EBITDA while Diversegy stabilizes GREW; regulatory/program changes (e.g., tax credits) are a watch‑item for pipeline economics .

Appendix: Additional Context

  • Q4 2024 featured a large non‑cash captive insurance reserve ($30.9M) impacting reported operating income and EPS; full‑year 2024 adjusted EBITDA achieved the high end of guidance ($48.5M) .
  • Q2 2025 (subsequent period) showed margin compression from wholesale price increases and unseasonably hot weather; management still expects $40–$50M consolidated adjusted EBITDA for FY 2025 .